Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1335.310077 1517.549852 1719.630619 1961.037302 2242.494024 2561.371182 2951.535900
2025-10-12 1064.916394 1307.339528 1601.353368 1987.204865 2484.671745 3110.455732 3966.765856
2025-10-19 920.255339 1187.375048 1530.816900 2010.650324 2673.105941 3569.420857 4898.024550
2025-10-26 817.512955 1097.596144 1475.041641 2030.090500 2841.247144 4008.517348 5862.389788
2025-11-02 751.234027 1043.986775 1455.031866 2087.492407 3060.144480 4540.552578 7047.035839
2025-11-09 687.932240 984.699120 1416.391751 2107.391803 3219.034115 4998.108058 8190.781456
2025-11-16 633.500927 930.927088 1377.477823 2118.211101 3359.860390 5441.325845 9386.210710
2025-11-23 590.077082 888.317165 1349.362487 2139.997383 3517.605346 5931.316615 10753.694758
2025-11-30 555.849981 855.955873 1332.823563 2176.835113 3703.071949 6494.255512 12367.683094
2025-12-07 507.880690 796.727985 1266.205504 2119.175758 3710.229116 6727.120344 13363.421106
2025-12-14 465.783118 743.231709 1203.674750 2060.784493 3706.590311 6935.527906 14345.092824
2025-12-21 427.497165 692.811463 1141.589225 1995.862892 3680.914361 7093.912443 15245.225432
2025-12-28 413.818454 684.154979 1152.806582 2071.177940 3947.519864 7911.380394 17898.108819
2026-01-04 394.514000 664.103802 1141.999892 2103.657709 4133.193919 8592.111439 20407.546493
2026-01-11 376.010989 643.720916 1128.324585 2128.238822 4304.732559 9270.317866 23091.754136
2026-01-18 358.710083 623.982705 1113.818147 2149.046460 4470.481778 9964.577475 26016.155525
2026-01-25 347.702404 614.924953 1118.672690 2210.358790 4736.483989 10953.140968 30090.561013
2026-02-01 332.982978 597.582160 1105.632608 2231.619955 4911.844348 11746.108913 33822.595881
2026-02-08 318.411861 579.348780 1089.115143 2243.180223 5065.373678 12511.824952 37721.592943
2026-02-15 306.134852 564.642352 1078.408991 2266.460518 5251.579265 13405.364881 42371.002271
2026-02-22 296.240096 553.900971 1074.907516 2305.830021 5485.238803 14484.237813 48094.824738
2026-03-01 278.006575 524.971187 1030.651037 2244.210984 5442.929960 14737.963244 50780.033452
2026-03-08 261.110599 497.683660 987.862174 2181.827536 5390.305206 14952.178089 53400.455836